NerdBracket

03/17/2026

Get March Madness bracket picks and expert analysis at:

nerdbracket.com

Original reel:
https://www.instagram.com/reel/DV951olDcyx/?igsh=YjZiaWU2bW5nMG1q

03/16/2026

Personal trainers know...

NerdBracket.com

03/16/2026

The model has been running overnight. So far, 851 viable brackets have made it through the 31 filters - sort of like Baskin Robbins. I will let the model run for about an hour more, and I will capture the "consensus" bracket - the bracket consisting of all the teams that won their bracket slot.

03/15/2026

March Madness bracket challenges will be starting today! Get your March Madness expert picks and the new 2026 March Madness Guide! Reserve yours today! Get an edge in your bracket pool! Nerd up!

https://www.nerdbracket.com

Join the excitement of College Basketball with state of the art March Madness Predictions and experience the thrill of the game!

03/13/2026

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* FINAL PROJECTIONS - 2026 *
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Projection model based on 's bracketology from Thursday morning and data from the same. Final Four is 1 Duke, 1 Florida, 5 Vanderbilt, and 3 Gonzaga. Duke is the champion.

No double digit seeds made it to the Sweet Sixteen, although 8 seed UCLA made it to that stage.

The model has 1 seed Michigan beaten by 5 seed Vanderbilt in the Sweet Sixteen, and 1 seed Arizona losing to 8 seed UCLA in the Round of 32 - similar to earlier in the week because Lunardi's bracketology hasn't changed much.

03/10/2026

Projection model based on 's bracketology from Sunday night and data from the same. Final Four is 1 Duke, 1 Florida, 6 UNC, and 4 Gonzaga. Duke is the champion.

No double digit seeds made it to the Sweet Sixteen, although 12 seed South Florida landed in almost 30% of the brackets.

The model has 5 seed Arkansas losing in the 1st Round to 12 seed South Florida and 7 seed Kentucky beaten by 10 seed Iowa. Model has 1 seed Michigan beaten by 5 seed Vanderbilt in the Sweet Sixteen, and 1 seed Arizona losing to 8 seed UCLA in the Round of 32.

03/05/2026

Projection model based on 's bracketology from Tuesday and data from Tuesday. Final Four is 1 Duke, 2 Florida, 5 Vanderbilt, and 1 Arizona. Duke is the champion.

10 seed Texas made it to the Sweet Sixteen.

The model has 6 seed Louisville losing in the 1st Round to 11 seed Santa Clara and 4 seed Texas Tech beaten by 13 seed Stephen F. Austin (although later rounds have Texas Tech winning - suggesting that game would be close). Model has 1 seed UConn beaten by 4 seed Florida in the Elite 8, and 1 seed Michigan losing to 5 seed Vanderbilt in the Sweet Sixteen.

03/02/2026

Projection model based on 's bracketology from Friday and data from Friday. Final Four is 1 Duke, 2 Florida, 6 UNC, and 4 Michigan St.. Duke is the champion.

Duke has replaced long time model favorite Arizona as the champion. There were no double digit seeds going to the Sweet Sixteen.

The model has 6 seed Villanova losing in the 1st Round to 11 seed Santa Clara and 5 seed Arkansas beaten by 12 seed South Florida. Model has 1 seed UConn beaten by 9 seed UCLA in the Round of 32, 1 seed Michigan losing to 6 seed UNC in the Elite 8, and 1 seed Arizona bested by 4 seed Michigan St. in the Sweet Sixteen.

02/26/2026

Projection model based on 's bracketology from Tuesday and data from Tuesday. Final Four is 3 Kansas, 3 Nebraska, 6 UNC, and 1 Arizona. Arizona is the champion.

One thing to note:the seeding and region placement has a lot to do with the model results.

The model has 2 seed Houston losing in the 1st Round to 15 seed Portland St. and 10 seed UCLA going to the Sweet Sixteen. Model has 1 seed Duke getting beaten by 3 seed Kansas in the Elite 8 and 1 seed Michigan losing to 5 seed Vanderbilt in the Sweet Sixteen.

02/26/2026

Crazy! Alabama 63-33 at the half against Mississippi State! The Tide are 16/27 from the 3 point line.

02/23/2026

Projection model based on 's bracketology from Friday and data from Friday. Final Four is 1 Michigan, 3 Florida, 1 Duke, and 1 Arizona. Arizona is the champion.

Key factors suggest this would be a very vanilla Final Four, hence the 1-3-1-1 seeds advancing. This happens when there is a big divide betwen the 1 thru 4 seeds and the rest of the participants.

The model has no double digit seeds going to the Sweet Sixteen. Model has 1 seed Houston getting beaten by 3 seed Florida in the Elite 8.