10/02/2026
Your St. Louis Blues are back. They take on the Dallas Stars in their season opener tonight at 8:00 CT on TNT.
There’s no getting around it, this is a huge season for the Blues. Over the last several years, they’ve committed not to a rebuild, but to whatever you want to call the middle ground they’ve taken instead. As you probably know, I haven’t always agreed with that direction. There were times I thought they should have torn it down further, and there were times I questioned whether they had enough high-end young talent to make this whole thing work. But at the end of the day, you can’t change the past. This is the direction they chose, this is the group they’ve built, and I’m cautiously optimistic about where it’s headed.
The Blues probably aren’t winning the Stanley Cup this year. Shocking, I know. But I also look at this roster and see a team that, on paper, should be very exciting and hopefully pretty good. There’s depth throughout the lineup, there are young players who should get plenty of chances to thrive, and there are enough pieces here that we should start getting an answer to the question we’ve been asking for years: is this "re-whatever" actually going to work?
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What does success look like?
The expectation from the fanbase should be for the Blues to make the playoffs. Half the league makes it, they aren’t rebuilding, and they’ve made moves with the intention of getting better now. But I also don’t think the difference between finishing as the 2nd Wild Card and missing it by two points is what determines whether this season was successful. To me, this season is more about where we are sitting in April and how we feel about where this team is going.
I hate to bring the Cardinals into this, but I think it’s actually pretty similar. The Cardinals are going down a deeper rebuilding path and are further away than the Blues, but the feeling I have about their direction right now, (specifically their long-term contending status), is what I desperately want to have about the Blues.
Remember where we were a year ago? The Blues had just come within 1.6 seconds of eliminating Winnipeg and moving on to the second round, and it felt like they had turned a corner. Then the 2025-26 season started, and they came out flat again. Within a couple months, we were talking more about draft position and potentially trading Robert Thomas than we were about the playoffs. While the 17-5-3 post-Olympic tun tanked their draft position, it also gave us a reason to be excited about this group going forward. That needs to continue, or last year’s “meaningless” run really will have actually been meaningless.
The Blues cannot spend October and November digging themselves another hole and then expect some ridiculous second-half run to save them. There needs to be some consistency. By the end of this season, I want to look at the Blues and genuinely believe they are two or three pieces away from being a legitimate contender. Maybe they make the playoffs and lose in the first round. Maybe they barely miss. Obviously I’d rather they make it, but the bigger thing is that when this season ends, there needs to be a clear path forward. We need to feel better about this team in April than we do right now.
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Players to watch:
A lot of this season comes down to the players the Blues have bet on. Start with Robert Thomas. He’s 27, the captain, the face of the team, and after last season’s trade rumors, he’s still here. Injuries hurt him last year, but even when healthy early on, he wasn’t producing like expected. If this team takes the next step, its best player and captain needs to lead it there.
Then there’s Mason McTavish. You don’t give up two 1st round picks for a former 3rd overall pick to be a decent middle-six forward. The Blues acquired him to hopefully become their long-term 2C. He doesn’t have to be that player tonight, but we need to see throughout this season why they made that bet.
McMichael needs to prove he’s a long-term piece worthy of the 6-year contract signed this offseason. Holloway, Broberg, Snuggerud , etc. need to keep building. Lindstein needs to show those 17 games weren't a fluke. Adam Jiricek will get an opportunity immediately and could be one of the organization’s most important and exciting prospects, considering two-way RHD don’t grow on trees and can be a battery of a roster. Stenberg will get his chance, while Dvorsky needs to show he can be at least a strong 3C.
Joel Hofer seems like he’ll get his chance to take over as starter, while Jordan Binnington suddenly has something to prove again. I think this could be a top-10 duo. Binnington has always seemed to play his best with a chip on his shoulder. And depending where the Blues are at around the deadline, he could be a trade candidate too.
There should also be improvement on the backend. Carlo should help a penalty kill that struggled last year, Parayko is still here, and hopefully we get more of late-2025 Fowler than the disappointing version we saw last season. Mailloux also will hopefully build off what he showed late last year once he returns from injury. Add Broberg and Jiricek that were mentioned above, and the blue line looks pretty decent entering the season. And who knows, maybe they’ll add Alexander Nikishin from Carolina here soon.
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If it doesn't work?
Here’s the other side of this, though. What happens if we get to Thanksgiving and the Blues are once again one of the worst teams in hockey? What happens if February 1st rolls around and they’re 10 points out of a playoff spot? Because as optimistic as I am about this team, I also think this is a season where we start needing answers. The Blues have a strong prospect pool, but they don’t have some obvious superstar prospect waiting to come save everything. At some point, the players already here have to prove that this core is good enough to build around. Al
And I think what happened with Parayko last season is another perfect example of just how close the Blues were to going in a different direction. They were prepared to move him to Buffalo, Parayko wouldn’t waive his no-trade clause, and now he’s still here. Add that to everything we know about the Thomas trade talks, and the Blues were a couple decisions away from this roster looking VERY different right now.
That’s why I keep coming back to “expected value” with this team. Management has spent the last few years constantly weighing how far to take this thing. Is the value of trading Thomas or Parayko and taking another step backward greater than the value of keeping them and trying to build around what you already have? Last year, for one reason or another, they didn’t completely blow it up. Then the team caught fire late, and that helped push them even further toward trying to make this thing work.
I’m fine with that. But that doesn’t mean this path gets unlimited chances. If we’re sitting here three months from now having the exact same conversations we had last January, then I think every conversation has to be back on the table. There are going to have to be some serious discussions about whether this retool is actually getting the Blues where they need to go.
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Overall thoughts:
Even with the doomsday talk, I genuinely think the Blues are going to be in the playoff race all year, and right now, I think they make it. Maybe that’s just the delusion talking because I desperately want something to believe in. If I’m just a delusional loser holding out hope for nothing, sue me!
The sportsbooks don’t seem love the Blues. They are around +200 to make the playoffs (33% implied odds), and DraftKings has them T-28th to win the Cup, behind the Jets, Islanders, Red Wings, and tied with the lowly Predators. Despite those low expectations in the betting market, I’ve also seen plenty of people around hockey point to the Blues as one of the more underrated teams heading into this season. I can see why. There’s enough talent here for this team to surprise some people. Now they need to prove those people right.
There are obviously teams in the West that are on another level, but after that top group, I think things are relatively wide-open. The Blues don’t need to suddenly become one of the best teams in hockey. They need Thomas to be Thomas, the young guys to take steps forward, the new additions to fit, and Hofer and Binnington to give them consistently good goaltending. More than anything, they just can’t spend the first two months of the season trying to recover from another terrible start. I don’t think I can handle a “DoSh*t for DuPont” first three months, that ends with the Blues finishing 18th overall....again.
For years we’ve talked about the retool. We’ve talked about prospects, draft picks, development and what this team could eventually become. Well, eventually has to become now at some point. The Blues have made their decisions. They’ve picked the players they believe in, they’ve chosen their direction, and they’ve decided they can build another contender without tearing the entire thing down. Now we get to see if they were right. This probably isn’t the year they become contenders, but it’s the year we get a sense whether there’s hope in the direction they chosen.