12/07/2023
U…bet with THE JUAN & only BLANCHARD
NFL Thursday Night Football
NE @ Pit
1. The Patriots have failed to cover the spread in 12 of their last 13 games as underdogs.
2. The Patriots have lost eight of their last nine games.
3. Nine of the Steelers' last 10 games have gone UNDER the total points line.
4. Steelers won last 7 straight up and ATS FOLLOWING A LOSS.
5. Steelers on 4 game losing streak vs AFC EAST teams
Last 5 head to head matchups, NE 3-1-1 ATS, NE 4-1 ML, 1-4 O/U
NE 2-10 ATS, 2-10 ML, 3-9 O/U
PIT 7-5 ATS, 7-5 ML, 2-10 O/U
NE is the 1st team since 1938 to give up 10 points or less in 3 straight games AND lose all 3 games.
(Juan’s analysis)
PIT -6, PIT ML, UNDER 30.5 (16-8) record at that total.
Should take the over, but I don't think NE helps in adding to the total. As season has progressed, NE offense has regressed.
The all time wk 14 reg season winning percentage for NE is 42% on the road & 67% for Pit at home.
NE has a 50% win percentage on the road on Thursdays, Pit has a win percentage of 82% at home on Thursdays.
The Patriots made history with their 6-0 loss to the Los Angeles Chargers on Sunday, becoming the first team since 1938 to lose three straight games despite allowing 10 or fewer points in each one.
Since 1998...The Steelers have lost five of the last eight regular season home games against the Patriots.
All time in regular season games played in the steel city between these two teams the Patriots avg 20 pts & the Steelers avg 23 pts.
(Blanchard’s analysis)
Steelers spread/Steelers ML/O