02/07/2021
Super Bowl LV Is Here. Hug It. Hold It. And Love It.
2/7/21
For two weeks we’ve known the matchup. For two weeks we’ve gossiped. And Super Bowl Sunday is here. Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs are looking to become the first team to go back to back since 2003-2004 New England Patriots. Tom Brady and that 04 Pats team beat the Andy Reid led Eagles.
Super Bowl LV is the first of its kind. Never has the host city for the Super Bowl made it to the game. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers become the league's first. And what a terrible year for it to happen. Corona sure sucked the life out of stadiums all year, But Raymond James Stadium is set to safely allow 25,000 fans in the Super Bowl. Which will make tonight's game the least attended Super Bowl ever. Early week weather looked sketchy, although this morning looks like kickoff will have clear skies with a steady breeze and 60 degrees.
Patrick Mahomes is undoubtedly awesome. I don’t find him as lovable as a lot of America does. And I’m not sure it’s even his fault as to why I’m not a fan of his. I think it has more to do with his weapons. Hill and Kelce are always wide open. It feels like they cheat when you watch them. Mahomes is only getting more confident with every snap. His pocket presence is elite for his age. Andy Reid has solidified himself as one of the all time great offensive minds.
We all know by now that TB12 is the G.O.A.T. and all week it was nauseating listening to the Max Kellermans of the world drum awful takes like “ If Brady wins, is he the greatest team athlete of all time?” Or “What if Tom loses the game for the Bucs, would they move on from the 43 year old?” I get why shows and media of that form exists, I just don’t understand why we all can’t just marvel and witness the true greatness that Tom is for however fu***ng long we have left with him.
I just want to list some insane playoff stats. Brady has started 44 playoff games. Joe Montana, often still mentioned as the greatest to ever do it, had 16 career playoff wins and seven losses. Tom has 17 more victories than Montana. Brady has a 4,909 yard lead over Manning. 2020 NFL MVP Aaron Rodgers tied Joe Montana with 45 career playoff touchdowns this year! Now Rodgers is only 35 touchdowns behind Brady.
Tom Brady has played only one season in the NFC and is third all time in playoff wins against NFC opponents with 9. Brady will be suiting for his 10th Super Bowl. Tom didn’t start his rookie year, and Brady missed the 08 campaign with a torn up knee. So Brady’s had 19 attempts at making a Super Bowl. Steph Curry has a worse chance at making a three pointer in a game than Tom does of making it to the fu***ng Super Bowl.
1 Kansas City Chiefs (8-10 ATS) -3.0
@ 5 Tampa Bay Buccaneers (11-8 ATS) O/U 56
My Pick:
Tampa's top ten defense has shored up in the playoffs. If Tampa can get after Mahomes the way they did Rodgers with five or less rushers Mahomes may be on the move and disruption is the best chance for slowing the Chiefs down. Tom plays close Super Bowls. The average margin of victory in Tom’s previous nine Super Bowls is 4.8 points. The over at 56 is the 11th Super Bowl with a total over 50. The under is 7-3 in games with a total of 50 or more. Brady is 5-4 on the under.
I Like Tampa +3 and the UNDER 56. Bet with your head not over it.