09/01/2026
📊 Big Money vs Normal Weekend
Do racers actually put together better runs when there is more money on the line?
From the data I was able to confidently identify as either $10,000+ to win races or normal race weekends, the answer is pretty clearly yes.
Big-money races had an average package of .0347, compared to .0412 during normal weekends.
You can see the difference throughout the distribution too. Big-money races have a noticeably higher percentage of runs in the .01x and .02x range, while normal weekends have more of the .05x, .06x, .07x and slower packages.
One stat that really stands out is that 47.3% of big-money runs were .02x or better, compared to just 36.4% during normal weekends.
This one has a smaller sample than most Tuesday Trends because I wanted to be confident in the comparison. I only included events I could clearly identify as big-money or normal weekends, removed junior races, and filtered out extremely large packages that were likely bad inputs or runs that weren't representative of a normal competitive pass.
That still left 52,983 runs, including 20,048 big-money runs and 32,935 normal weekend runs.
We know the packages are better when there's more money on the line. What surprised me was how noticeable the difference actually is across the entire distribution.
Does the size of the difference surprise you? How much do you think you step up your game at a big-money race?
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