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Avalon Surf Report, Avalon, NJ (2026)

09/22/2022

⚠️HURRICANE FIONA SURF OUTLOOK⚠️
✳️EFFECTIVE FOR THURSDAY SEPTEMBER 22-SATURDAY SEPTEMBER 24✳️
➡️OVERVIEW: Fiona is currently a Category 4 storm producing large surf. Its direction and speed will keep size in the 4-6’ range and surf will be a bit walled. However-local wind conditions will help with conditions and there will be plenty of fun surf.

➡️THURSDAY SEPTEMBER 22: Slowly building swell from Fiona will start in the 2-3’ range with sets in the 4’ range by days end. Winds will be an issue for most of the day as strong south winds blow ahead of a front that will move through the region. Winds will then shift NW sometime in the mid afternoon which will slowly clean things up and improve surface conditions. Best window for Thursday would be late afternoon pending the offshore flow.

➡️FRIDAY SEPTEMBER 23: SE swell from Fiona will continue to build much quicker as the swell is anticipated to reach its peak Friday Afternoon at around 3.8’ @17 seconds, which is a long period ground swell. This swell will translate to surf in the 5-7’ range with bigger sets for standout spots that face SE. Due to the nature of the swell, it will be a bit walled so the best bet will be to surf at a spot that has some structure, like a jetty, pier, etc. Winds will be strong from the NW for most of the day in the 15-25mph which will also make conditions a bit challenging, with surface conditions clean. Low tide will be around 12:30pm with the tide coming in to a 6:45pm high, which is when the surf will also build to its peak.

➡️SATURDAY SEPTEMBER 24: SE swell is on the decline but remains strongest early, with surf expected to be in the 3-4-5’ range early, decreasing to 2-3’+. Surf will likely be much more manageable as winds are forecasted to be lighter and the swell will not be as walled. NW winds are expected so expect clean conditions throughout the day. Jettys and piers still are likely to remain the best option as the primary source of surf will be a mid-long period ground swell.

08/21/2021

✳️UPDATE ON SWELL EVENT FROM HURRICANE HENRI✳️
✳️EFFECTIVE FOR SUNDAY AUGUST 22✳️
Overview: ⚠️Know your limits before paddling out⚠️
➡️SEE IMAGES ABOVE FOR WIND/WAVE CHARTS FOR SUNDAY
⚠️Overview: With Henri forecasted to pass offshore as a low category one hurricane overnight tonight and into Sunday Morning, surf heights will be elevated and peaking Sunday Morning before slowly easing through the day Sunday while remaining solid as winds shift offshore⚠️
➡️WIND FORECAST: As the center of circulation for Henri moves North, the wind field of the storm will affect our local winds which is why light-moderate offshore flow is currently forecasted for Sunday. Winds are forecasted to be generally W/WNW/NW in the 7-12 mph range which translates to clean surface conditions as wave heights rise and peak Sunday Morning.
➡️✳️SURF✳️: SE/ESE swell from Henri will rise overnight as the storm moves northward and will PEAK Sunday Morning. Currently, we anticipate surf to rise and peak in the 6-8’ range with 10’ sets possible at spots that can handle the swell better. As Henri passes our region, surf heights will remain solid but will ease through the back half of the morning and through the afternoon. Surf heights will still remain solid in the 4-6’ range throughout the day. This will be by far the best day of surf in quite some time and with the wind expected to cooperate, conditions should be clean. This will shape up to be a big day and a memorable one. Know your limits before paddling out as there will be some Solid Surf on tap.
➡️ HIGH TIDE: 8:33AM
➡️ LOW TIDE: 2:25PM
➡️ SUNRISE: 6:17AM

10/22/2020

HURRICANE EPSILON FORECAST FOR FRI-SUN 10/23-10/25
(🟢=Good/🟡=Avg/Manageable/🔴=Poor)
➡️FRIDAY 10/23| AM:🟢 PM: 🟡
➡️SURF: Long Period E/ESE swell from Epsilon will further fill in and be strong throughout the day with surf expected in the 5-8’+ range. Expect a solid day of surf with swell expected to clock in around 9.5’ @ 12-14 seconds.
➡️WIND: While winds will not completely be in our favor, they will not be out of our favor either. Currently, we expect East Winds in the 5-7mph range for most of the day. It won’t completely ruin surface conditions, but prepare for some slight bump.
➡️TIDES: HIGH-2:23PM | LOW-7:42AM/8:51PM
⚠️NOTE⚠️- Due to the long period nature of the swell, some breaks will not be able to handle all of the groundswell energy. Breaks that have structure and can handle it will be your best bet. Use caution if you paddle out as these waves will be powerful and met with strong rip currents.⚠️
➡️SATURDAY 10/24 | AM:🟡 PM: 🟢🟢🟢🟢
➡️SURF: Continued Long Period E/ESE swell will be in the water all day Saturday with surf expected in the 5-8’ range again. The swell is expected to clock in between 8.6’-9.5’ @12-14 seconds from the ESE throughout the day.
➡️AM WIND: Currently, AM winds are expected to be unfavorable for most breaks. Wind models are in general agreement on SSW/SW winds in the 7-12mph range through the morning making semi-bumpy surface conditions and poor+ conditions for any spot exposed to southerly wind.
➡️✳️PM WIND✳️: Winds are expected to switch WSW sometime around Noon on Saturday before turning more directly West and eventually NW over the course of the afternoon. These offshore winds are expected to be in the 5-10mph range which will slowly clean up surface conditions in the early afternoon before providing very clean conditions for the rest of the day Saturday, which will set up VERY GOOD conditions at spots that can handle the swell.
➡️TIDES: HIGH-3:29PM | LOW-8:48AM

09/21/2020

FORECAST FOR TUESDAY 9/22 AND WEDNESDAY 9/23
Overview: Hurricane Teddy swell reaches its peak and holds solid as local wind conditions finally switch in our favor. Get ready for a phenomenal few days of surf before minimal surf returns through the rest of the month. Details below.
(🟢=Good/🟡=Avg/Manageable/🔴=Poor)
➡️TUESDAY 9/22 | AM:🟢🟢 PM: 🟢🟢🟢
➡️SURF: Long period ESE swell from Teddy is peaking throughout the entire day with surf in the 6-8’ range and bigger sets in spots that handle the long period energy. Current buoy and weather data currently anticipates that this swell will be in the 8.2’-9.2’ @ 12-13 seconds throughout the day.
➡️WIND: After days of strong NE winds, we finally have relief. Winds will start out due North at Dawn Patrol Tuesday Morning and will be in the 10-20mph range with some stronger gusts possible. *Over the course of the rest of the day, winds will slowly shift from North to NNW and eventually to NW/WNW by early/mid afternoon. By then, winds are expected to be in the 10-15mph range, down a notch from the morning hours. The afternoon looks to be ideal for the cleanest conditions with biggest surf. Overall a great day of surf.
➡️TIDES: HIGH-12:44PM | LOW-6:08AM/7:03PM
⚠️NOTE- Due to the long period nature of the swell, some breaks will not be able to handle all of the groundswell energy. Breaks that have structure and can handle it will be your best bet. Use caution if you paddle out as these waves will be powerful and met with strong rip currents.⚠️
➡️WEDNESDAY 9/23 | AM:🟢🟢🟢🟢 PM: 🟢🟢
➡️SURF: Swell from Teddy continues and comes from a more direct E direction while remaining long period. Plenty of surf throughout the day but will be biggest early and on the downward trend through the day. In the morning, we expect strong 4-6’ occ.7-8’ surf courtesy of E swell that looks to clock in around 5.5’-6.8’ @ 15 seconds. Due to Teddy’s track moving quickly north past our region, surf will trend down and be a few notches smaller by afternoon. We still expect surf in the 2-3-4’ range for the afternoon. However, the morning will offer the biggest size.

09/13/2020

✳️FORECAST FOR UPCOMING MULTI-DAY SWELL EVENT✳️
✳️EFFECTIVE FOR MON SEPT. 14–>WED SEPT. 16✳️
Overview:With the peak of hurricane season here, the tropics are extremely active and there will be no shortage of waves through the next several days. This forecast took longer to complete due to all of the different factors contributing to this weeks waves.
READ BELOW: (🟢=Good/🟡=Avg/Manageable/🔴=Poor)
➡️MONDAY 9/14 | AM:🟢 PM:🟡
➡️SURF:SE/ESE swell really begins filtering in around 5.7’-6.3’ @ 11-12 seconds and will put surf in the 3-5’ range for the morning hours before building further in the 4-6’+ range by the afternoon. Some breaks may be walled, while those with better structure will be ideal.
➡️WIND: Models aren’t sure how strong the winds will be when they switch late Monday AM. Winds will be offshore early before switching out of the North by mid/late morning as a cold front moves through.
⚠️NOTE-Most models predict Northerly through the PM, which will help southern facing breaks like Avalon. However, some predict more of a side/onshore NNE direction. Keep an eye on flags.⚠️
➡️TUESDAY 9/15|AM:🔴PM:🔴➡️🟡
➡️SURF: Three swells mix to put surf in the 5-7-8’ range. Swell #1 will be SE Swell from Hurricane Paulette that filters in and builds into the 6.2’-6.6’ @ 12 seconds. Swell #2 will be a new, longer period SE swell pulse from Paulette in the 4’-4.2’ @ 15 seconds range. Swell #3 will be a 4.1’ @ 6 seconds windswell chop from local onshore flow.
➡️WIND: Unfortunately, moderate onshore winds from the NNE/NE are forecasted for Tuesday AM before dropping to the 10-15mph range by the PM. ⚠️NOTE*: Winds are expected to decrease further around 3pm into 5-10mph range which could make conditions more manageable. Regardless, surface conditions will remain jumbled. Stay Tuned⚠️
➡️WEDNESDAY 9/16 | AM:🟡 PM:🟡
➡️SURF: SE swell is down a bit with short period E swell mixing in. Surf holds in the 3-5’ range, biggest early. The surf then drops a bit into the 3-4’ range in the PM.
➡️WIND: Winds won’t be perfect, but will be lightest in the 5-8mph range early before building into the 10-20mph range by afternoon making surface conditions poor.

09/03/2020

⚠️FORECAST FOR THURSDAY 9/4 AND FRIDAY 9/5⚠️
Overview: Fun sized summertime surf with good surface conditions are in store for Thursday before fading back to small scale surf on Friday and through Labor Day Weekend.
*READ BELOW*
THURSDAY:
➡🟢SURF:Continued E/ESE swell that provided the uptick in surf on Wednesday will continue into Thursday and hold through the morning hours with fun 2-3’+ surf with occasional bigger sets possible. By mid-afternoon, the swell will begin to start trending down.
➡🟢WIND: Clean offshore winds will provide clean surface conditions Thursday Morning. Winds will be from the W/WNW in the 5-10mph range which will be ideal for fun conditions. The wind is then expected to switch side/onshore from the South sometime in the early afternoon. The south winds will be in the 10-15mph range and will make surface conditions poor.
FRIDAY:
➡🔴SURF: E/ESE is down to 1-2’ with occasional 3’ waves possible early. It may still be enough for a longboard/floaty board, but don’t expect much. The swell will be much smaller than what we will see on Thursday.
➡🟢WIND: Light winds in the 5-10mph range are expected through the day. Winds are expected to blow offshore in the morning and then potentially going more SW (side shore) during the day.
BEST BET: Thursday Morning will offer the most size with the best wind conditions

09/02/2020

UPDATE FOR WEDNESDAY SEPTEMBER 2
We will have a more in-depth report tomorrow night regarding surf expected through the rest of the week.
Here are the conditions we expect for tomorrow:
➡️SURF: Continued ESE swell that had began to build through the day Tuesday will peak through the day Wednesday in the 2-3’+ range with bigger peaks very possible. Definitely will be a nice change of pace from flat summertime surf. However, wind conditions won’t be working in our favor.
➡️WIND: The weather models are in slight disagreement on the winds expected tomorrow. The best bet is to have low expectations the whole day. **However, all seem to indicate a brief window when winds look to lighten up and be in the 5mph or less range before restrengthening for the remainder of the day. Here’s what we currently expect:
AM: Generally Light onshore winds are expected throughout the morning in the 3-7mph range. Conditions won’t be perfect and surface conditions will be a bit bumpy, but it should be plenty manageable and worth a look.
PM: Sometime in the late morning/early afternoon winds will turn more southerly and pick up to moderate levels and will make surface conditions worse.
BEST BET: Keeping an eye on the flags in the morning and having generally low expectations. However, at least there will be plenty of rideable surf on tap.

08/25/2020

⚠️QUICK UPDATE REGARDING SLIGHT INCREASE IN SWELL FOR TUESDAY AUGUST 25TH⚠️
➡️Overview:With summertime surf taking reign over the past week, and the current tropical systems not being much of a help, the only thing worth mentioning is the slight increase in swell we expect for Tuesday August 25th, courtesy of Tropical Storm Laura.
➡️🟢SURF: Expect 2-3’ surf for most area with an occasional bigger wave at standout spots at ideal tides. The SE swell that Laura sent us when the storm was approaching the carribean islands sent just enough swell to make sure more rideable and fun sized. Definitely will be worth a check as there is nothing too notable coming for the rest of the week.
➡️🟢WIND: Light SW/SSW winds are expected for the morning that will offer semi-clean side/offshore conditions. Winds are expected to pick up for the afternoon and turn more offshore setting up cleaner conditions.
⚠️Overall, the surf won’t be anything outstanding or great compared to other swells we have had this summer. However, it will definitely be a nice break from our typical summertime pattern so enjoy it if you can and Stay Tuned for updates later this week regarding any potential surf from the remnants of Laura.⚠️ @ Avalon, New Jersey

08/15/2020

⚠️UPDATE REGARDING MONDAY AUGUST 17TH AND OUTLOOK FOR TUESDAY AUGUST 18TH⚠️
➡️Since weather models can never be 100% perfect all the time, it is no surprise that our outlook for Monday has yet again changed. Given that there are multiple weather systems interacting in our area right now, and will continue to do so over the next few days, any change in location, strength, or control in any of the systems and atmospheric conditions can alter our local weather, and in this case, wind.
Here is what has changed from our last update that was posted late Thursday Night, August 13:
➡️🟡MONDAY
➡️SURF:Our surf outlook remains the same. Solid E windswell will be in the water with plenty of 3-5’ surf on tap. Currently, we are expecting a peak in surf early Monday at around 5.5-6.5’ @ 8 seconds depending on the strength of the various systems over the weekend.
➡️WIND: Our wind outlook has changed now due to the newly formed Tropical Storm Kyle and exiting low pressure that will leave our area by the end of the weekend.
Currently we expect moderate Northerly winds early Monday morning before the wind switches more towards the NNE and eventually ENE/E and lightening up a notch. All in all, winds won’t be as favorable as we originally thought, but they will be plenty manageable compared to Saturday and Sunday. Stay Tuned to our page for updates and be sure to keep an eye on the flags during the day Monday for any windows of favorable wind.
➡️🟢TUESDAY: Surf slowly eases through the day Tuesday but remains rideable and fun in the 2-3’+ range, biggest early. Tuesday will also have the most favorable winds with light/variable offshore flow for the morning and a light southerly breeze for the afternoon. ⚠️Stay Tuned for updates on our surf and wind expectations for Tuesday as well⚠️ @ Avalon, New Jersey

08/14/2020

⚠️UPDATE REGARDING THIS WEEKENDS SURF: EFFECTIVE FRIDAY 8/14-MONDAY 8/17⚠️
[Our last forecast update on our last post discussed a possible change in wind conditions for Monday | The forecast for Friday-Sunday remains the same with some slight adjustments in size]
READ BELOW
🔴FRIDAY🔴
➡SURF:Increasing E windswell builds through the day. Surf will be flat in the morning and surf quality will be poor as wave heights slowly build into the 1-3’ range by the afternoon with some bigger windswell peaks possible.
➡WIND: NE winds blow moderately in the 15-25mph range creating very poor surface conditions.
🔴SATURDAY🔴
➡SURF:East windswell starts in the 2-3’+ range Saturday morning before building into the 3-5’ range in the afternoon. Again, choppy blowout surf for all spots that face any variation of East.
➡WIND: Moderate-Strong NNE/NE winds continue and likely increase into the 20-30mph range which will make Saturday the windiest of the 3 days. Saturday looks to also be mostly precipitation free with just partly cloudy skies and strong onshore wind.
🔴SUNDAY🔴
➡SURF:East windswell holds in the 4-5’ range with most models calling for 5.7’ @ 7 seconds. If you do not mind choppy surface conditions, it may be worth a paddle out.
➡WIND: Some showers move into the area as wind goes more NE/ENE and continues to blow in the 15-25mph range.
🟢MONDAY🟢
➡SURF: The reliable wave models have not changed regarding the swell we anticipate for Monday. Easing but still solid East windswell will slowly fade through the day. We currently expect 3-4-5’ surf Monday Morning and 2-3’+ occ. 4’ surf in the afternoon. Overall, plenty of surf will be on tap.
➡✳️WIND✳️: Local winds on Monday are currently our focus. Our last forecast called for light onshore winds through the day.
However, all available and reliable weather models are in agreement for moderate North(N)-NNW-Northwest(NW) winds in the morning which will clean up surface conditions. The afternoon is where there are current disagreements. Winds may end up shifting more N/NNE for worse conditions OR will stay N/NW for the afternoon.
STAY TUNED as we nail down specifics for Monday Afternoon. @ Avalon, New Jersey

08/12/2020

⚠️TROPICAL UPDATE AND END OF WEEK OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY 8/14-MONDAY 8/17⚠️
➡️Tropical Overview:
Tropical Depression 11 has formed in the Atlantic. It will more than likely become Tropical Storm Josephine in the next day or two. However, environmental conditions towards the Caribbean look to be unfavorable for strengthening so as of now we don’t expect any notable swell from this system. We will keep you updated if anything changes.
➡️Local Overview:
The pattern we tend to see a few times a summer will return this weekend when a lingering frontal boundary interacts with high pressure to create moderate-strong onshore NE/ENE winds that will bring some wet weather and larger, choppy surf. If you do not mind the choppy messy surf and strong onshore winds, there will be plenty of opportunity to surf.
*Day by Day Breakdown*
🔴FRIDAY:🔴
➡SURF:Small SE swell in the 1-2’ range. Waves will bump up a notch by evening but remain poor and disorganized.
➡WIND: Winds will be increasing throughout the day from the ENE in the 10-20mph range.
🔴SATURDAY:🔴
➡SURF: The surf will likely continue to build as current wind and wave models call for Saturday to be the windiest day of this whole thing. Surf starts out in the 2-3’+ range early before building to the 4-6’+ range in the afternoon. The main source of swell will be from the East in the 6.5’-7.5’ @ 6 seconds range.
➡WIND: For now, winds are expected to be from the ENE/NE in the 20-30mph range with gusts to 40mph.
🔴SUNDAY:🔴
➡SURF:Currently, we anticipate choppy, blown out surf in the 4-6’+ range with the significant swell being around 7.8’ @ 8 seconds.
➡WIND: Strong onshore winds continue but may ease just a bit into the 15-25mph range as surf peaks all day.
🟢MONDAY:🟢
➡SURF: Surf will be in the 3-5’ range early easing to the 2-3’+ range by evening with more favorable conditions, though not perfect.
➡WIND: The more reliable models indicate winds easing into the 5-10mph range by mid morning and staying in that range throughout the day. Surface conditions won’t be perfect, but they will be much more manageable than the previous 3 days.
⚠️Note: As the weekend approaches, we will keep you updated. STAY TUNED⚠️ @ Avalon, New Jersey

Avalon Surf Report

09/22/2022

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10/22/2020

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09/13/2020

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