19/10/2026
Was canceling the Ta**us Mountain Race the right decision?
The events of the past few days in TĂŒrkiye have sparked a conversation that I think is worth having, both as a climate scientist and as an organizer of ultra-distance bikepacking races.
Extreme weather has always existed, but weâre no longer experiencing it in a stable climate. Human-induced warming is changing the probability and intensity of many extreme events, adding another layer of uncertainty to an already unpredictable environment.
And when your playground stretches across mountains, remote valleys and very different climatic regions, that uncertainty matters.
As organizers, we spend months planning, scouting and preparing for different scenarios, but no amount of preparation can eliminate every risk.
Something else often gets overlooked: making a precautionary decision is incredibly difficult. If you cancel and nothing happens, people might accuse you of overreacting. If you donât, and something goes wrong, youâll be asked why you didnât act sooner.
Adventure will always involve uncertainty, and thatâs part of what makes it special. But organizing an adventure also means accepting responsibility for the people taking part.
Our full support goes to , who had to make an incredibly difficult decision under challenging circumstances.
Sometimes, the hardest part of organizing an adventure is knowing when to stop it.
For anyone interested in the science behind this discussion, you can find a few peer-reviewed studies worth reading in the video and at the link in bio.
â ïž These papers provide broader scientific context, not an attribution of the specific weather event that affected the race.