02/08/2026
A few days ago the BBC weather forecast showed an area of high pressure parked over the southwest of the UK, centred roughly directly over the SW tip of Wales - no isobars, no arrows showing any wind- so no prospect whatsoever of any sailing. Windguru agreed … but with one exception, in that he showed a stiff westerly kicking in mid afternoon over at Pembrey - a couple of hours after low water - and fading away in the early evening … just for Pembrey, for 2 days, but not at Pendine, and not Newgale. I thought this might be a mistake, as surely the whole area should be getting the same - ie glorious sunshine and no significant wind - but, as you may know, I have complete faith in the ‘guru … so I went, had a ball (120 miles sailed in 6 hours) and am now slightly mystified …
First things first - the guru doesn’t do a forecast for Pembrey. The nearest forecast is for Llangennith, on the Gower, the other side of the Loughor estuary, opposite the southern end of the beach, barely 5 miles away as the crow flies so near enough, or there’s one for Pendine, some 7 miles west of the north end of the beach. Having gone there both days, the beach was exactly what you’d expect when there’s no wind at all over the outgoing tide - ie a rippled mess, but with a thin, narrow strip near the high water line that you could pinch upwind on, then Hoon back downwind … and the northern couple of miles were too rippled for words, again entirely consistent with a prolonged period of no wind over the outgoing tide. It was also fascinating how the wind - which was lovely near the entrance, towards the southern end of the beach - dropped right off as you approached the northern end … you could feel the wind getting lighter, so you’d turn back and gently accelerate back up to full speed again. I found it absolutely fascinating. I ventured out to eye up the northern banks - a regrettable decision as there weren’t any, and the ripples were worse - but I was determined to get to the northern end … and failed, beaten by the combination of a dying breeze and vicious ripples, so I returned to the easier sailing and racked up the miles.
That was Friday 31st July, and I went back the following day - the forecast was identical - and did it all again, this time in the company of 2 kite buggiers. One had a tiny buggy with big fat tyres on it and an enormous kite … I tried chasing him but he just cruised away … no swooping of the kite, just effortless power, and his tyres didn’t kick up any sand at all … I was impressed by his kite control. As the wind picked up he was obviously wildly overpowered, and cruised along with the kite directly above him, whereas I was fully sheeted in and flying along. He packed up and left. His mate persevered, then switched to a wobble board - with the same kite - and, late in the day, tried the buggy again. He headed north - with the kite in the Up position - so I followed, thinking I’ll surely catch him … but he just eased away. I could feel the wind dropping, so I turned back … and he continued north. Conditions had felt gusty to me - particularly at that northern end - as I’d tried - and failed, yet again - to reach the river when the wind was up - so I felt duty bound to keep an eye on him. I sailed briskly back to the slipway - 3 miles, ish - then back north again - no sign of him. I repeated the run - still no sign of him. Hmmm … nothing for it but to venture out onto the ripples and go looking for him … but the ripples shake the power out of the sail, so … I was suddenly barely moving and at risk of getting stuck … but at least I could see his kite swooping about in the sky in the distance, somewhere up by the river, so he was clearly okay … stuck, but okay. I struggled back to the smooth sand (of which there was a little more than the day before), dashed back to the entrance and repeated the northward trek … no sign of his kite, but the wind was actively dropping and I didn’t make it as far north before turning … but I did glimpse what might have been him, walking back. On the next run I could see his kite, swooping around as he searched for wind, but I made it even less far up the beach. Then - a couple of runs later - on what proved to be my last run, I could see that he might have made some modest progress, with much swooping of the kite … but I had to head back.
When conditions go like this - ie iffy, on the lighter side of marginal - having been perfectly sailable, it’s a sure sign you’re about to become a victim of a local phenomenon called the 6 o’clock shut-off. I’ve been caught by it too many times - though not recently - and I recognised the symptoms straight away. It was time for me to head back - while I still could - and leave him to enjoy his walk. It was a lovely day for it … he might not have seen it that way, but it was … and there was nothing I could do to help. There’s no rescue service out on the beach. If he’d come unstuck while the wind was up, I could have towed him back - I’ve towed a Class 3 with my Miniyacht before - but when the wind vanishes, there’s simply nothing to be done, other than enjoy the walk.
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