03/01/2024
The Gap is coming.
In productivity, in skill, in employability, in income, and in education.
For now the gap between those who leverage and those who "wait and see" is (relatively) small. But very soon, this gap will become exponentially larger.
The gap between people who do nothing or very little with AI + those who are building an introductory level of proficiency is growing, but can currently be "closed" in a relatively short time (think less than 100 hours). But what people don't realize is how small this window is.
This is a gap that will be unlike any other innovation before it. The next year is an unprecedented opportunity for early adopters and quick learners to have an exponential advantage, potentially for the rest of their lives.
The cost of not moving will be higher than ever.
As these tools become more powerful, as their implementation becomes more pervasive, and their impact on life and work expands there are those who will wait because they don't see the ultimate impact of what is coming, and how this disruption is like nothing before it.
If you are 63+ or are already financially set for life, you don't have a choice to lean in or not. You only have the ability to choose how helpful or harmful to your vocational and economic life these tools will be for your future.
Upskilling needs to start TODAY.
But this isn't upskilling like before. You don't need a 2-year MBA, to read 100 books, or hire an expensive coach. You need to rapidly cultivate what I call the "work behind the work". These are those skills and capacities that, when present, are largely invisible.
You need to learn how to think critically and strategically, you need to build communication skills in writing to articulate approaches to solving problems, you need to understand how to incorporate technologies into your work before your peers.
The learning curve might feel steep now, but understand this...
However steep it feels now will pale in comparison to the speed and scale that will be required to catch up, and eventually (sooner than later) it will be really hard to catch up at all.
I think (at least for the next few years) that people will not be exclusively replaced by these technologies but that instead they will be skipped over for jobs and promotions for people who can leverage these technologies.
So don't take a wait-and-see approach. The only thing you will see is the people on the horizon in front of you getting smaller and smaller as they leave you further and further behind.