AMB Weather

06/08/2026

Forecast Discussion
11:47 AM Monday, June 8, 2026

Potential Hazards
Friday…Scattered afternoon thunderstorms, Afternoon Heat Index 95-100
Saturday… Scattered afternoon thunderstorms, Afternoon Heat Index 95-100

Changes to the Previous Forecast
No major changes.

General Discussion
The forecast remains on track. I’m still looking at a summer-time pattern by the end of the week. This will bring scattered afternoon and evening thunderstorms to Dauset Friday and Saturday. Heat Index values will be around 95 both Friday and Saturday afternoon.

You can also find this forecast on AMB Weather's website at
https://ambweather.org/georgia-cycling-association/

06/07/2026

Forecast Discussion
4:38 PM Sunday, June 7, 2026

Potential Hazards
Friday…Scattered afternoon thunderstorms, Afternoon Heat Index 95-100
Saturday… Scattered afternoon thunderstorms, Afternoon Heat Index 95-100

General Discussion
The week starts off a active with widespread showers and thunderstorms across Dauset. A large ridge of high pressure will build over the southeast U.S. for the last half of this week. This will bring a more summer-time pattern with scattered afternoon and evening thunderstorms. This will also bring higher temperatures and higher humidities which will put the afternoon Heat Index in the 95 to 100 degree range Friday and Saturday.

You can also find this forecast on AMB Weather's website at
https://ambweather.org/georgia-cycling-association/

05/23/2026

Great day for a ride with the grandsons!

05/22/2026

05/22/2026

Chainbuster Forecast
9:28 AM Friday, May 22, 2026

Potential Hazards
Today…Widespread thunderstorms this afternoon and tonight.
Saturday…Scattered morning thunderstorms, widespread thunderstorms in the afternoon.

Changes to the Previous Forecast
Minor tweaks to the timing of the rain and thunderstorms on Saturday.

Discussion
The axis of moisture is currently over central Alabama and Mississippi. This will shift east today moving over the racecourse later this afternoon and tonight. Some models are showing an all-day rain and thunderstorm scenario on Saturday. However, the majority of the models are suggesting a wave of rain and thunderstorms moving across the racecourse between midnight tonight and 7 AM Saturday. Then there will be a lull in the activity for the rest of the morning and then showers and thunderstorms regenerating Saturday afternoon. This is consistent with previous model runs and I have trended my forecast in this manner.

Rainfall amounts will be the heaviest tonight with the amounts of around 1.00” by Saturday morning. Additional rainfall amounts of 0.50” are possible during the day Saturday, mainly in the afternoon. Isolated rainfall amounts could be higher in the stronger thunderstorms.

You can see this forecast at the following website…
https://ambweather.org/chainbuster-racing/

05/21/2026

Chainbuster Forecast
7:59 AM Thursday, May 21, 2026

…HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY…

Potential Hazards
Friday…Widespread thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Saturday…Scattered morning thunderstorms, widespread thunderstorms in the afternoon.

Changes to the Previous Forecast
Increased the chances of rain Friday and Saturday.
Increased the rainfall amounts Friday and Saturday.

Discussion
Major changes to the forecast as all models are increasing the coverage of rain as well as the rainfall amounts, beginning Friday afternoon and continuing into Saturday. An upper level disturbance will move out of the Gulf and across Georgia Friday and Saturday. This will collide with a backdoor front that will stall across north Georgia. This will bring widespread showers and thunderstorms, some with heavy rain across much of north and central Georgia beginning Friday afternoon and continuing into Friday night and Saturday. A few storms could be strong to severe Friday afternoon with the main threat being damaging winds.

While I am forecast total rainfall around 1.00”, some of the stronger storms could push that total close to 2.00”.

You can see this forecast at the following website…
https://ambweather.org/chainbuster-racing/

Unless there is a major change in the forecast, the next scheduled forecast will be Friday, May 22.

05/19/2026

Chainbuster Forecast
9:03 AM Tuesday, May 19, 2026

Potential Hazards
Friday…Scattered afternoon thunderstorms.
Saturday…Scattered afternoon thunderstorms.

Changes to the Previous Forecast
Increased the chances of rain Friday and Saturday.

Discussion
The forecast remains mostly unchanged through Thursday. A backdoor cold front will move across the Carolinas and into northeast Georgia Friday and then stall just north of Monticello on Saturday. This will put Monticello on the warm and unstable side of the front. Showers and thunderstorms will develop along this boundary, mainly in the afternoon and evening hours on Friday and Saturday. Some storms could be strong with gusty winds and heavy rain.

You can see this forecast at the following website…
https://ambweather.org/chainbuster-racing/

Unless there is a major change in the forecast, the next scheduled forecast will be Friday, May 22.

05/18/2026

Chainbuster Forecast
8:17 PM Sunday, May 17, 2026

Potential Hazards
Friday…Scattered afternoon thunderstorms.
Saturday…Scattered afternoon thunderstorms.

Discussion
The week will start out hot and humid, but dry. This changes for the last half of the week as Gulf and Atlantic moisture spread into the state bringing scattered, mainly afternoon and evening thunderstorms beginning Thursday and continuing into Saturday.

You can see this forecast at the following website…
https://ambweather.org/chainbuster-racing/

Unless there is a major change in the forecast, the next scheduled forecast will be Tuesday, May 19.

05/15/2026

Forecast Discussion
9:13 AM Friday, May 15, 2026

Potential Hazards
Today…None.
Saturday…None,

Changes to the Previous Forecast
No changes.

General Discussion
The forecast remains on track. Race day is looking amazing!

You can also find this forecast on AMB Weather's website at
https://ambweather.org/georgia-cycling-association/

05/14/2026

Forecast Discussion
1:24 PM Thursday, May 14, 2026

Potential Hazards
Friday…None.
Saturday…None,

Changes to the Previous Forecast
Removed the mention of thunderstorms on Saturday.

General Discussion
The latest trend in the models is for a dry forecast through Saturday. Therefore, I have removed the mention of thunderstorms Saturday afternoon.

You can also find this forecast on AMB Weather's website at
https://ambweather.org/georgia-cycling-association/